I-70 Cash Flow
Proforma |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Category |
|
CONSTRUCTION |
|
OPERATION |
OPERATION |
OPERATION |
25 YEAR SUMMARY |
|
|
|
|
|
|
REVENUES |
|
|
fund / constr |
constr / test |
yr-1 |
yr-2 |
yr-3 |
yr-4 |
yr-5 |
yr-6 |
yr-7 |
yr-8 |
yr-9 |
yr-10 |
yr-11 |
yr-12 |
yr-13 |
yr-14 |
yr-15 |
yr-16 |
yr-17 |
yr-18 |
yr-19 |
yr-20 |
yr-21 |
yr-22 |
yr-23 |
yr-24 |
yr-25 |
Totals |
Revenues: |
|
|
50% |
Tourist Ridership (10,000 p/d x 4% p/y)[1] |
|
|
|
3.65 |
3.80 |
3.95 |
4.11 |
4.27 |
4.44 |
4.62 |
4.80 |
5.00 |
5.20 |
5.40 |
5.62 |
5.84 |
6.08 |
6.32 |
6.57 |
6.84 |
7.11 |
7.39 |
7.69 |
8.00 |
8.32 |
8.65 |
9.00 |
9.36 |
|
16,547 riders in 25th year |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Round Trip Fare Average ($29 x 2% p/y) |
|
|
|
$105.85 |
$112.29 |
$116.78 |
$121.45 |
$126.31 |
$131.36 |
$136.61 |
$142.08 |
$147.76 |
$153.67 |
$159.82 |
$166.21 |
$172.86 |
$179.77 |
$186.96 |
$194.44 |
$202.22 |
$210.31 |
$218.72 |
$223.01 |
$231.93 |
$241.21 |
$250.86 |
$260.89 |
$271.33 |
$4,464.68 |
Revenues from tourists |
|
|
|
|
|
|
50% |
Local Ridership (10,000 p/d x 4% p/y) |
|
|
|
3.65 |
3.80 |
3.95 |
4.11 |
4.27 |
4.44 |
4.62 |
4.80 |
5.00 |
5.20 |
5.40 |
5.62 |
5.84 |
6.08 |
6.32 |
6.57 |
6.84 |
7.11 |
7.39 |
7.69 |
8.00 |
8.32 |
8.65 |
9.00 |
9.36 |
|
16,547 riders in 25th year |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average Round Trip Fare ($20 x 4% p/y) |
|
|
|
73.00 |
77.44 |
80.54 |
83.76 |
87.11 |
90.59 |
94.22 |
97.98 |
101.90 |
105.98 |
110.22 |
114.63 |
119.21 |
123.98 |
128.94 |
134.10 |
139.46 |
145.04 |
150.84 |
156.88 |
163.15 |
169.68 |
176.46 |
183.52 |
190.86 |
$3,099.49 |
Revenues from locals |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cargo at 1/4 Local Ridership |
|
|
|
$19.36 |
$20.13 |
$20.94 |
$21.78 |
$22.65 |
$23.55 |
$24.50 |
$25.48 |
$26.49 |
$27.55 |
$28.66 |
$29.80 |
$31.00 |
$32.24 |
$33.52 |
$34.87 |
$36.26 |
$37.71 |
$39.22 |
$40.79 |
$42.42 |
$44.12 |
$45.88 |
$47.72 |
$58.02 |
$814.64 |
Revenues from cargo |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Advertising at 1/4 Local Ridership[2] |
|
|
|
$19.36 |
$20.13 |
$20.94 |
$21.78 |
$22.65 |
$23.55 |
$24.50 |
$25.48 |
$26.49 |
$27.55 |
$28.66 |
$29.80 |
$31.00 |
$32.24 |
$33.52 |
$34.87 |
$36.26 |
$37.71 |
$39.22 |
$40.79 |
$42.42 |
$44.12 |
$45.88 |
$47.72 |
$58.02 |
$814.64 |
Revenue from ads, vending, souvenirs, parking, air rights, copyrights,
interest |
|
|
|
|
|
|
GROSS REVENUES |
|
|
|
|
$222.0 |
$233.1 |
$242.4 |
$252.1 |
$262.2 |
$272.7 |
$283.6 |
$294.9 |
$306.7 |
$319.0 |
$331.8 |
$345.0 |
$358.8 |
$373.2 |
$388.1 |
$403.6 |
$419.78 |
$436.57 |
$454.04 |
$467.74 |
$486.45 |
$505.90 |
$526.14 |
$547.19 |
$578.23 |
$9,193.46 |
Total Revenues |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Costs and Expenses: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Costs and expenses: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating Costs at 30% |
|
|
66.60 |
69.93 |
72.72 |
75.63 |
78.66 |
81.80 |
85.08 |
88.48 |
92.02 |
95.70 |
99.53 |
103.51 |
107.65 |
111.96 |
116.43 |
121.09 |
125.93 |
130.97 |
136.21 |
140.32 |
145.93 |
151.77 |
157.84 |
164.16 |
173.47 |
2,793.40 |
Operating Costs |
|
|
|
|
|
Franchise and Royalty @ 3% gross[3] |
|
|
$0.0
|
$0.0
|
6.66 |
6.99 |
7.27 |
7.56 |
7.87 |
8.18 |
8.51 |
8.85 |
9.20 |
9.57 |
9.95 |
10.35 |
10.76 |
11.20 |
11.64 |
12.11 |
12.59 |
13.10 |
13.62 |
14.03 |
14.59 |
15.18 |
15.78 |
16.42 |
17.35 |
279.34 |
Franchise and Royalty[4] |
|
|
|
|
|
Replacement reserve at 5% gross |
|
|
11.10 |
11.65 |
12.12 |
12.61 |
13.11 |
13.63 |
14.18 |
14.75 |
15.34 |
15.95 |
16.59 |
17.25 |
17.94 |
18.66 |
19.41 |
20.18 |
20.99 |
21.83 |
22.70 |
23.39 |
24.32 |
25.30 |
26.31 |
27.36 |
28.91 |
465.57 |
Replacement Reserves |
|
|
|
|
|
Total Costs & Expenses |
|
|
$0.0 |
$0.0 |
84.36 |
88.57 |
92.12 |
95.80 |
99.63 |
103.62 |
107.76 |
112.07 |
116.56 |
121.22 |
126.07 |
131.11 |
136.36 |
141.81 |
147.48 |
153.38 |
159.52 |
165.90 |
172.53 |
177.74 |
184.85 |
192.24 |
199.93 |
207.93 |
219.73 |
3,538.30 |
Total Costs & Expenses |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Income |
|
|
$158.0 |
$368.6 |
137.64 |
144.52 |
150.30 |
156.31 |
162.56 |
169.06 |
175.83 |
182.86 |
190.17 |
197.78 |
205.69 |
213.92 |
222.48 |
231.37 |
240.63 |
250.25 |
260.26 |
270.67 |
281.50 |
290.00 |
301.60 |
313.66 |
326.21 |
339.26 |
358.50 |
5,773.02 |
Net Income |
|
|
|
|
|
Amortized $1.5 B loan ( / 25 years / 5%)[5] |
|
|
104.78 |
104.78 |
104.78 |
104.78 |
104.78 |
104.78 |
104.78 |
104.78 |
104.78 |
104.78 |
104.78 |
104.78 |
104.78 |
104.78 |
104.78 |
104.78 |
104.78 |
104.78 |
104.78 |
104.78 |
104.78 |
104.78 |
104.78 |
104.78 |
104.78 |
$2,514.72 |
Amortized Debt |
|
|
|
|
|
Cash Flow |
|
|
32.86 |
39.74 |
45.52 |
51.53 |
57.78 |
64.28 |
71.05 |
78.08 |
85.39 |
93.00 |
100.91 |
109.14 |
117.70 |
126.59 |
135.85 |
145.47 |
155.48 |
165.89 |
176.72 |
185.22 |
196.82 |
208.88 |
221.43 |
234.48 |
253.72 |
$3,258.30 |
Cash Flow |
|
|
|
|
|
Return On $1.5 Billion
Invested w/o Bonds |
(before taxes) |
|
0.09 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
0.15 |
0.15 |
0.16 |
0.17 |
0.17 |
0.18 |
0.19 |
0.19 |
0.20 |
0.21 |
0.22 |
0.23 |
0.24 |
15.39% |
Average Annual Return on $ 1.5 Billion Investment |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital |
Sources and uses |
|
|
(MILLIONS) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Year 1 |
Year 2 |
Year 3 |
Year 4 |
Totals |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sources |
$0.30 |
70% |
0% |
0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Debt |
|
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00
|
0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity |
$472.24
|
$
1,101.89 |
$
- |
$
- |
$1,574.13
|
100% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Sources |
$472.24
|
$
1,101.89 |
$0.00 |
$
- |
$ 1,574.13 |
100% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Uses |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Stations |
$80.28
|
$
187.32 |
$
- |
$
- |
$267.60
|
17% |
|
|
|
|
Guideway |
$349.46
|
$
815.40 |
$
- |
$
- |
$1,164.85
|
74% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equipment/cars |
$37.78
|
$
88.15 |
$
- |
$
- |
$125.93
|
8% |
|
|
|
|
Property Taxes |
$4.72
|
$
11.02 |
$
- |
$
- |
$15.74
|
1% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Subtotal |
$472.24
|
$1,101.89
|
$
- |
$
- |
$1,574.13
|
100% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest |
$0.00
|
$
- |
$
- |
$
- |
$0.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
Commitment fee |
$0.00 |
$
- |
$
- |
$
- |
$0.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
SUBTOTAL |
$0.00 |
$
- |
$
- |
$
- |
$0.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
Total Uses |
$
472.24 |
$
1,101.89 |
$
- |
$
- |
$1,574.13
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$1,574.13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|